KXGOLDENBACHELOR-26MAY31-PEG
Will Peg win The Golden Bachelor Season 2?
$1.0
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.94 | $0.97 | $1.0 | 6.0¢ | 94.17% |
| NO | $0.0 | $0.06 | $0.06 | 6.0¢ | 5.99% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.94 | 0 | $1.0 | 0 |
| NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.06 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.97 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.06 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.940 – 1.000 |
| Band Width | 0.060 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -5.83 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.17 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 600 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 201112 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 2229 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Peg is officially declared the winner of The Golden Bachelor Season 2 before May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The winner must be officially announced in the finale or via official channels immediately following. Multiple joint winners each resolve to Yes with split payouts ($1 divided by number of winners). If no winner is declared, all markets resolve to No. Winners who decline the award still count unless acceptance was a condition of victory. Disqualifications or withdrawals before the finale resolve to No. Later title stripping doesn't affect resolution - the original finale announcement governs. Fan favorite or other secondary awards don't count as winning. For couples/teams competitions, being part of the winning unit counts.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-09T13:31:56.708602
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