KXGRAMMYNOMAOTY-68-MAN
2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?
Man's Best Friend:: Sabrina Carpenter
$0.74

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.61 $0.68 $0.74 13.0¢ 67.5%
NO $0.26 $0.33 $0.39 13.0¢ 32.5%
Overround (asks): 13.0% Underround (bids): 13.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.61 189 $0.74 32
NO $0.26 32 $0.39 189
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.7212 0.7104 0
$0.2788 -0.7104 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.610 – 0.740
Band Width0.130

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-6.5
NO Edge (ticks)-6.5
Vig (bps/h)1

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) -1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0412
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-09-03 11:55 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-12-31 10:00 AM ET (463d 20h 26m)
Expected Expiration2025-11-07 10:00 AM ET (44d 20h 26m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity972909
24h Volume12
Open Interest60
OI Turnover (24h)0.2
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0510.06919.87
0.25290.06639.87
0.501520.65409.27
0.753052.074110.3
0.955512.071417.8
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Man's Best Friend has been nominated for Album of the Year at the 68th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:33:11.388248

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