KXGRAMMYNOMAOTY-68-SWA
2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?
SWAG:: Justin Bieber
$0.44

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.31 $0.38 $0.44 13.0¢ 37.5%
NO $0.56 $0.62 $0.69 13.0¢ 62.5%
Overround (asks): 13.0% Underround (bids): 13.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.31 32 $0.44 203
NO $0.56 203 $0.69 32
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.3277 -0.7277 0
$0.6723 0.7277 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.310 – 0.440
Band Width0.130

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-6.5
NO Edge (ticks)-6.5
Vig (bps/h)1

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.01
ΔSpread (¢) -1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) -0.0523
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-07-21 12:45 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-12-31 10:00 AM ET (463d 20h 24m)
Expected Expiration2025-11-07 10:00 AM ET (44d 20h 24m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity875421
24h Volume10
Open Interest75
OI Turnover (24h)0.13
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0510.56298.21
0.25311.25997.51
0.501979.244329.47
0.753279.243029.47
0.955171.211137.5
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If SWAG has been nominated for Album of the Year at the 68th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:35:08.834892

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