KXGTEDEPLOYMEGAETHDAY1-27JAN01
Will GTE deploy on MegaETH mainnet before Jan 1, 2027?
$0.51
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.45 | $0.48 | $0.51 | 6.0¢ | 48.0% |
| NO | $0.49 | $0.52 | $0.55 | 6.0¢ | 52.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.45 | 0 | $0.51 | 0 |
| NO | $0.49 | 0 | $0.55 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.48 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.52 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.450 – 0.510 |
| Band Width | 0.060 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 600 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 3199071 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 752 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If GTE has successfully deployed on MegaETH mainnet before the sooner of the day after MegaETH launches and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A successful deployment requires that smart contracts or code for the protocol have been deployed to the specified blockchain mainnet (not testnet), the deployment has been officially announced or confirmed by the protocol team, core functionality of the protocol is operational on the blockchain, users can interact with the protocol through at least one interface (web app, CLI, or direct contract interaction), and the deployment is publicly accessible (not restricted to whitelisted addresses only). Full protocol launch with all features operational counts as deployment, as does partial deployment with core features operational (e.g., beta or v1 launch), migration of existing protocol from another blockchain, deployment of a new version or fork of the protocol, multi-chain expansion where the specified blockchain is added as a supported network, or deployment through official bridges or cross-chain infrastructure. Testnet deployments regardless of functionality do not count as deployment, nor do announcements of future deployment without actual smart contract deployment, deployment of placeholder or proxy contracts without functionality, private or permissioned deployments accessible only to team or investors, deployment of auxiliary contracts (e.g., governance tokens) without core protocol functionality, third-party forks or clones not endorsed by the protocol team, wrapped or synthetic versions created by other parties without protocol endorsement, deployment on a different blockchain than specified, or deployment on Layer 2s when the specification is for Layer 1. Resolution will be based on verifiable on-chain records, official protocol communications, blockchain explorers, and reputable crypto news sources.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data
Last updated: 2025-11-09T16:34:30.406594
Technical Indicators
No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →
Let us know what you’d like to see →