KXH1BREPEAL-26JAN01
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on universally removing or lowering the $100,000 H-1B visa fee during In 2025?
$0.1

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.06 $0.08 $0.1 4.0¢ 8.0%
NO $0.9 $0.92 $0.94 4.0¢ 92.0%
Overround (asks): 4.0% Underround (bids): 4.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.06 0 $0.1 0
NO $0.9 0 $0.94 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.08 0.0 0
$0.92 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.0600.100
Band Width0.040

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.0
NO Edge (ticks)-2.0
Vig (bps/h)400

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 1.0
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity391760
24h Volume0
Open Interest2099
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action regarding universally removing or lowering the $100,000 H-1B visa fee in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-09T16:34:31.206403

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