KXIL9D-26-KA
Wil Kat Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-9?
$0.43

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.28 $0.35 $0.43 15.0¢ 35.5%
NO $0.57 $0.65 $0.72 15.0¢ 64.5%
Overround (asks): 15.0% Underround (bids): 15.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.28 0 $0.43 0
NO $0.57 0 $0.72 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.35 0.0 0
$0.65 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.280 – 0.430
Band Width0.150

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-7.5
NO Edge (ticks)-7.5
Vig (bps/h)1499

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.14
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity619876
24h Volume1
Open Interest4419
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Kat Abughazaleh wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 IL-9 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Wil Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-9?
$0.65
Wil Kat Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-9?
$0.43

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-10T07:03:02.708892

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