KXINX-25NOV14H1600-B6862
Will the S&P 500 be between 6850 and 6874.9999 on Nov 14, 2025 at 4pm EST?
6,850 to 6,874.9999
$0.17

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.12 $0.14 $0.17 5.0¢ 14.5%
NO $0.83 $0.85 $0.88 5.0¢ 85.5%
Overround (asks): 5.0% Underround (bids): 5.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.12 0 $0.17 0
NO $0.83 0 $0.88 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.14 0.0 0
$0.85 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.120 – 0.170
Band Width0.050

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.5
NO Edge (ticks)-2.5
Vig (bps/h)500

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.02
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.17
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity10504500
24h Volume329
Open Interest223
OI Turnover (24h)1.48
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on November 14, 2025 is between 6850-6874.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will close on November 14, 2025. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after November 14, 2025. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-11-11T18:32:14.082909

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