KXIPOANDURIL-26FEB01
When will Anduril IPO?
$0.21
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.17 | $0.19 | $0.21 | 4.0¢ | 19.0% |
| NO | $0.79 | $0.81 | $0.83 | 4.0¢ | 81.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.17 | 5 | $0.21 | 64 |
| NO | $0.79 | 64 | $0.83 | 5 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.1729 | -0.8551 | 5 |
| $0.8271 | 0.8551 | 588 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.170 – 0.210 |
| Band Width | 0.040 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -2.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -2.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | -0.0171 |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-07-30 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2026-01-31 11:59 PM ET (130d 0h 5m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2027-06-01 10:00 AM ET (615d 9h 6m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 301079 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 628 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 4.0 | 1943.99 |
| 0.25 | 219.56 | 1731.18 |
| 0.50 | 323.56 | 1624.43 |
| 0.75 | 552.99 | 1619.25 |
| 0.95 | 1947.99 | 950.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Anduril confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Feb 1, 2026.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:53:07.390292
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