KXJONESACTREPEAL-27-JAN04
Will repeal of the Jones Act becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?
$0.11
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.05 | $0.08 | $0.11 | 6.0¢ | 8.0% |
| NO | $0.89 | $0.92 | $0.95 | 6.0¢ | 92.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.05 | 0 | $0.11 | 0 |
| NO | $0.89 | 0 | $0.95 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.08 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.92 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.050 – 0.110 |
| Band Width | 0.060 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 600 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 536558 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 115 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If repeal of the Jones Act becomes law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market will pay out if a bill becomes law that repeals the Jones Act, also known as the Merchant Marine Act of 1920 before January 4 2027 (the end of the 119th congress).
Additionally, if the general prohibition imposed by Jones Act on foreign-built, foreign-owned, or foreign-flagged vessels from engaging in coastwise trade within the United States is repealed or undone by newer legislation, the market will pay out.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-09T19:08:54.612616
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