KXKPOPDH2-26-KPO
Will Sony Pictures Animation release KPop Demon Hunters 2 to the public before 2027?
$0.12
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.11 | $0.12 | $0.12 | 1.0¢ | 11.5% |
| NO | $0.88 | $0.89 | $0.89 | 1.0¢ | 88.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.11 | 0 | $0.12 | 0 |
| NO | $0.88 | 0 | $0.89 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.12 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.89 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.110 – 0.120 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 100 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1622253 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 2739 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Sony Pictures Animation releases KPop Demon Hunters 2 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
For the purposes of this market, Sony Pictures Animation is considered the rights holder and producer of KPop Demon Hunters, regardless of distribution arrangements (e.g., as a Netflix Original). A “commercial release” shall mean the first public availability of a movie sequel to KPop Demon Hunters (e.g., KPop Demon Hunters 2 or another direct continuation in the same film franchise) to the general public, whether through streaming (including a Netflix-exclusive) or direct-to-digital/home media release. Other films with unrelated titles or concepts, even if involving K-pop themes, are excluded. Limited festival screenings, private previews, or promotional showings do not qualify unless they coincide with or constitute the official wide release to the general public.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-09T19:08:55.208836
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