KXKPOPDH2-26-KPO
Will Sony Pictures Animation release KPop Demon Hunters 2 to the public before 2027?
$0.12

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.11 $0.12 $0.12 1.0¢ 11.5%
NO $0.88 $0.89 $0.89 1.0¢ 88.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.11 0 $0.12 0
NO $0.88 0 $0.89 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.12 0.0 0
$0.89 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.1100.120
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)100

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity1622253
24h Volume0
Open Interest2739
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Sony Pictures Animation releases KPop Demon Hunters 2 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
For the purposes of this market, Sony Pictures Animation is considered the rights holder and producer of KPop Demon Hunters, regardless of distribution arrangements (e.g., as a Netflix Original). A “commercial release” shall mean the first public availability of a movie sequel to KPop Demon Hunters (e.g., KPop Demon Hunters 2 or another direct continuation in the same film franchise) to the general public, whether through streaming (including a Netflix-exclusive) or direct-to-digital/home media release. Other films with unrelated titles or concepts, even if involving K-pop themes, are excluded. Limited festival screenings, private previews, or promotional showings do not qualify unless they coincide with or constitute the official wide release to the general public.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-09T19:08:55.208836

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