KXMASSIEDISCHARGE-26JAN01-DEMOCRATIC
Will Democratic provide the 218 signature on Massie discharge petition on Epstein files?
$0.91

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.85 $0.88 $0.91 6.0¢ 88.0%
NO $0.09 $0.12 $0.15 6.0¢ 12.0%
Overround (asks): 6.0% Underround (bids): 6.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.85 0 $0.91 0
NO $0.09 0 $0.15 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.88 0.0 0
$0.12 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.8500.910
Band Width0.060

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-3.0
NO Edge (ticks)-3.0
Vig (bps/h)600

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.03
ΔSpread (¢) -6.0
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity383010
24h Volume1
Open Interest580
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If a Democrat has signed Discharge Petition No. 9 for H.Res. 581 (Massie discharge petition on Epstein files) as the 218th signature before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A signature occurs when the Member's name appears on the official list maintained by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. The signature must be recorded and published in accordance with House rules. If a Member signs and then withdraws their signature before or after the petition reaches 218 signatures, this still satisfies the signing requirement. Non-voting Delegates and the Resident Commissioner cannot sign discharge petitions. Party affiliation is determined at the time of signing. If a Member dies or resigns after signing, their signature remains valid unless removed by their successor. For ordinal signature markets (e.g., "Who will provide the 218th signature?"), the market resolves based on which party the Member providing that specific numbered signature belongs to.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-11T12:35:48.581447

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