KXMAXTPSAVAX-AVALANCHE-26JAN01-200
Will Avalanche achieve max TPS above 200 before Jan 1, 2026?
$0.25
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.16 | $0.2 | $0.25 | 9.0¢ | 20.5% |
| NO | $0.75 | $0.8 | $0.84 | 9.0¢ | 79.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.16 | 0 | $0.25 | 0 |
| NO | $0.75 | 0 | $0.84 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.2 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.8 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.160 – 0.250 |
| Band Width | 0.090 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 900 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1431278 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 289 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If the maximum TPS achieved on Avalanche mainnet is above 200 before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
TPS is calculated as the maximum number of transactions processed in any one-second period or single block divided by block time, whichever methodology is standard for the specified blockchain. Measurements use the primary block explorer designated at issuance. Only mainnet transactions count; testnet activity is excluded. Layer 2s and rollups are considered separate blockchains from their Layer 1.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-10T07:00:54.913505
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