KXMLBNLRELOTY-25-EDIA
Who will win NL Reliever of the Year 2025?
$0.63

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.11 $0.37 $0.63 52.0¢ 37.0%
NO $0.37 $0.63 $0.89 52.0¢ 63.0%
Overround (asks): 52.0% Underround (bids): 52.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.11 111 $0.63 20
NO $0.37 20 $0.89 111
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.5506 0.6947 0
$0.4494 -0.6947 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.1100.630
Band Width0.520

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-26.0
NO Edge (ticks)-26.0
Vig (bps/h)6

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($) 0.1806
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-06-13 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-29 10:00 AM ET (370d 23h 15m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-29 10:00 AM ET (35d 23h 15m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity10524150
24h Volume0
Open Interest6639
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05626.2263216.52
0.25656.1963119.9
0.50656.1963119.9
0.75668.7963107.3
0.954704.1559071.94
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Edwin Diaz wins the Pro baseball National League Reliever of the Year in the 2025 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T14:44:46.274000

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