Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
| NO | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.01% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 59999 |
| NO | $0.99 | 59999 | $1.0 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 59999 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.000 – 0.010 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Timing
| Opens | 2025-05-21 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (12d 4h 0m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (12d 4h 0m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 61305739 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 0 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 599.99 | 612602.8 |
| 0.25 | 599.99 | 612602.8 |
| 0.50 | 894.68 | 612308.11 |
| 0.75 | 1940.98 | 611261.81 |
| 0.95 | 66886.79 | 546316.0 |
Rules
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Market Context & Data Summary
Event: Will the Atlanta pro baseball team win more than 110 times this season?
Implied P(YES) (mid): 1% | YES/NO spreads: 1¢ / 99¢ | Overround (asks): 1% | Underround (bids): 1%.
Orderbook skew: The order book shows significant depth in the NO side, with the largest levels at 1¢ (397,800 units) and a gradual decrease in size as prices rise. The lack of YES levels indicates limited market interest.
Recent prints: No notable trade activity observed over the last 24 hours.
External context: - The Atlanta team has historically performed near or below 110 wins in recent seasons, reflecting a competitive environment. - Current season statistics suggest a lower-than-expected win rate due to injuries and team performance metrics (source: MLB data). - Historical data shows a variance in win totals in prior seasons, impacting market sentiment (source: ESPN analysis).
View & Probability
Analyst P(YES): 2%.
Rationale: Despite a historically competitive team, current performance metrics suggest low likelihood due to injuries and underwhelming season start.
Actionable Trading Recommendations
Idea 1 — Short NO
Entry: $0.01 | Invalid/Stop: $0.005 | Target: $0.03
Thesis: Market overestimates the team's underperformance potential.
Key risks/catalysts: Unexpected team recovery, player trades, or changes that significantly alter team dynamics.
Idea 2 — Buy YES
Entry: $0.01 | Invalid/Stop: $0.005 | Target: $0.04
Thesis: If the team improves through trades or coaching changes, upside potential exists.
Key risks/catalysts: Consistent team losses or injuries impacting player performance.
Key Dates & Catalysts
Last trade/close (ET): 2025-09-22 16:30 ET.
Expected expiration (ET): 2025-10-05 14:00 ET.
Known release windows: MLB performance data updates and injury reports regularly scheduled.
Sources
- MLB Data — mlb.com — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- ESPN Analysis — espn.com — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- Historical MLB Statistics — baseball-reference.com — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- Team Performance Metrics Report — fanGraphs.com — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- Injury Reports — mlb.com/injuries — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- Recent Game Summaries — espn.com/scores — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- Team Rankings and Stats — theathletic.com — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- Upcoming Schedule — mlb.com/schedule — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- MLB Team News — CBS Sports — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
- Fan Projections — RotoWire.com — Accessed: 2025-09-22 16:30 ET
Technical Indicators
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