KXMLBWORLD-26-USA

World Baseball Classic Winner?

$0.36

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.31	$0.34	$0.36	5.0¢	33.5%
NO	$0.64	$0.67	$0.69	5.0¢	66.5%

Overround (asks): 5.0% Underround (bids): 5.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.31	276	$0.36	257
NO	$0.64	257	$0.69	276

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.3359	0.0356	1180
$0.6641	-0.0356	2357

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.310 – 0.360
Band Width	0.050

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-2.5
NO Edge (ticks)	-2.5
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	-0.0041

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-04-01 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-02-28 10:00 AM ET (888d 17h 32m)
Expected Expiration	2026-02-28 10:00 AM ET (158d 17h 32m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	126479789
24h Volume	26
Open Interest	1873
OI Turnover (24h)	0.01
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	2985.42	1044604.51
0.25	3507.98	1043867.75
0.50	5734.38	1041799.85
0.75	6306.14	1041069.59
0.95	80950.54	997811.29

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If United States wins the World Baseball Classic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T21:27:25.795382

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