KXMLSWEST-25-LAFC
Will the Los Angeles win the MLS Western Conference?
$0.38

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.01 $0.2 $0.38 37.0¢ 19.5%
NO $0.62 $0.81 $0.99 37.0¢ 80.5%
Overround (asks): 37.0% Underround (bids): 37.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.01 300 $0.38 37
NO $0.62 37 $0.99 300
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.3394 0.7804 0
$0.6606 -0.7804 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.010 – 0.380
Band Width0.370

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-18.5
NO Edge (ticks)-18.5
Vig (bps/h)6

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) 0.1394
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-05-15 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2027-10-18 10:00 AM ET (755d 2h 32m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-18 10:00 AM ET (25d 2h 32m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity64323477
24h Volume12
Open Interest15
OI Turnover (24h)0.8
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.053.0643098.33
0.253.0643098.33
0.5018.02643083.31
0.751169.75642116.83
0.95118863.77580477.56
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Los Angeles wins the MLS Western Conference Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T11:27:53.810774

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