KXMLSWEST-25-RSL
Will the Salt Lake win the MLS Western Conference?
$0.37

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.37 $0.37 37.0¢ 31.22%
NO $0.63 $0.81 $1.0 37.0¢ 72.3%
Overround (asks): 37.0% Underround (bids): 37.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.37 10001
NO $0.63 10001 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.37 0.0 0
$0.81 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.000 – 0.370
Band Width0.370

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-5.78
NO Edge (ticks)-31.22
Vig (bps/h)6

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-05-15 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2027-10-18 10:00 AM ET (755d 2h 32m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-18 10:00 AM ET (25d 2h 32m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity68713118
24h Volume0
Open Interest0
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.0687447.98
0.250.0687447.98
0.503723.39683724.59
0.756573.86680874.12
0.95163210.42633601.56
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Salt Lake wins the MLS Western Conference, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T11:27:55.144794

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