KXMTRUSHMORE-29
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
$0.15

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.1 $0.12 $0.15 5.0¢ 12.5%
NO $0.85 $0.88 $0.9 5.0¢ 87.5%
Overround (asks): 5.0% Underround (bids): 5.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.1 0 $0.15 0
NO $0.85 0 $0.9 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.12 0.0 0
$0.88 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.100 – 0.150
Band Width0.050

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.5
NO Edge (ticks)-2.5
Vig (bps/h)500

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) -2.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity6860731
24h Volume25
Open Interest2167
OI Turnover (24h)0.01
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If an executive action has been taken or a bill has become law directing President Trump’s likeness be sculpted into Mt. Rushmore before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
$0.15

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-10T05:18:24.368552

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