KXNASDAQ100Y-26JAN01H1000-B20250
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 20000 and 20499.99 at the end of 2025?
20,000 to 20,499.99
$0.02
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | $0.02 | $0.02 | 2.0¢ | 1.98% |
| NO | $0.98 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 2.0¢ | 98.04% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | 0 | $0.02 | 500 |
| NO | $0.98 | 500 | $1.0 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.02 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 3100 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.000 – 0.020 |
| Band Width | 0.020 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.02 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.98 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | -0.01 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-07-28 07:30 PM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-12-31 04:00 PM ET (98d 22h 39m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (99d 16h 39m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 86902566 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 8272 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 88.0 | 969326.06 |
| 0.25 | 255.58 | 969158.48 |
| 0.50 | 1328.68 | 968085.38 |
| 0.75 | 13841.57 | 958066.24 |
| 0.95 | 213602.56 | 834073.45 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on December 31, 2025 at 4pm EST is between 20000 and 20499.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will close on December 31, 2025. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2025.
Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-23T22:20:42.513184
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