KXNASDAQ100Y-26JAN01H1000-B24250
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 24000 and 24499.99 at the end of 2025?
24,000 to 24,499.99
$0.07

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.04 $0.06 $0.07 3.0¢ 5.5%
NO $0.93 $0.94 $0.96 3.0¢ 94.5%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.04 491 $0.07 2000
NO $0.93 2000 $0.96 491
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.0459 -0.6058 32491
$0.9541 0.6058 4094

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.040 – 0.070
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.5
NO Edge (ticks)-1.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.01
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.03
Micro Pull ($) -0.0141
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-07-28 07:30 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-12-31 04:00 PM ET (98d 22h 39m)
Expected Expiration2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (99d 16h 39m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity84734442
24h Volume9
Open Interest68796
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05979.64919827.46
0.251349.98919457.12
0.501350.36919456.74
0.7513340.97907466.13
0.95170607.18787243.27
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on December 31, 2025 at 4pm EST is between 24000 and 24499.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will close on December 31, 2025. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2025. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T22:20:40.139623

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