KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-1
Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?
$0.22

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.21 $0.21 $0.22 1.0¢ 21.5%
NO $0.78 $0.79 $0.79 1.0¢ 78.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.21 11 $0.22 264
NO $0.78 264 $0.79 11
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.2104 -0.92 3120
$0.7896 0.92 479

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.210 – 0.220
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.01
Micro Pull ($) 0.0004
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-11-04 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2029-01-20 10:00 AM ET (1215d 21h 51m)
Expected Expiration2029-01-20 10:00 AM ET (1215d 21h 51m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity139018043
24h Volume8
Open Interest5843
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.051984.791210216.28
0.252709.991209486.08
0.503520.951208675.12
0.753816.131208385.94
0.9593766.671126979.4
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If 1 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T17:08:38.810610

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