KXNFLDRAFT1ST-26-1-CLE
Will Cleveland make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2026 Pro Football Draft?
$0.17
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.09 | $0.13 | $0.17 | 8.0¢ | 13.0% |
| NO | $0.83 | $0.87 | $0.91 | 8.0¢ | 87.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.09 | 0 | $0.17 | 0 |
| NO | $0.83 | 0 | $0.91 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.13 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.87 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.090 – 0.170 |
| Band Width | 0.080 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -4.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -4.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 800 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1582718 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 600 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Cleveland is the team to make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market resolves to Yes based on the team that makes the first selection in the draft. If a team initially owns the rights to the first overall pick but trades that pick to another team, the market will resolve to Yes for the team that ultimately makes the selection, not the team that originally held the pick.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-10T12:39:32.514431
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