KXPRESCHILE-25-EMAT
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
:: Independent Democratic Union
$0.14

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.12 $0.13 $0.14 2.0¢ 13.0%
NO $0.86 $0.87 $0.88 2.0¢ 87.0%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.12 1563 $0.14 440
NO $0.86 440 $0.88 1563
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.1356 0.5607 4017
$0.8644 -0.5607 2865

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.120 – 0.140
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) 0.0056
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-02-26 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-05-22 11:00 AM ET (241d 13h 6m)
Expected Expiration2025-11-16 10:00 AM ET (54d 13h 6m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity422097
24h Volume1000
Open Interest6081
OI Turnover (24h)0.16
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0511.042180.52
0.25997.141194.42
0.50997.141194.42
0.75997.141194.42
0.951846.06345.5
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Evelyn Matthei wins the Chilean presidency in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

:: Party for Democracy
$0.01
:: Liberal Party of Chile
$0.01
:: Christian Social Party
$0.01
:: Social Green Regionalist Federation
$0.01
:: National Libertarian Party
$0.02
:: Chilean Communist Party (Proletarian Action)
$0.02
:: Communist party of Chile
$0.18
:: Republican Party
$0.69
:: Party of the People
$0.99
:: Independent
$0.99
:: Independent
$0.99

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-23T01:53:21.830874

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →