KXROARINGKITTYTWEETS-26JAN01-0
How many Roaring Kitty posts on X the week ending on Jan 1, 2026?
$0.39
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.3 | $0.34 | $0.39 | 9.0¢ | 34.5% |
| NO | $0.61 | $0.66 | $0.7 | 9.0¢ | 65.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.3 | 0 | $0.39 | 0 |
| NO | $0.61 | 0 | $0.7 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.34 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.66 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.300 – 0.390 |
| Band Width | 0.090 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 900 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | 1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | 0.01 |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 773088 |
| 24h Volume | 50 |
| Open Interest | 5144 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.01 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If @TheRoaringKitty posts, quote posts, and reposts on X 1 or above times (not including replies) from 5:45 PM ET on Jul 23, 2025 to 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This will be determined by using the X API; deleted posts will be included if they are posted long enough to be picked up by it, which is called every five minutes. It will include all posts except replies.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-13T00:22:22.480907
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