KXSBADAPPEARANCES-26FEB09-SSWE
Will Sydney Sweeney appear in a big game ad before Feb 9, 2026?
$0.74
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.67 | $0.7 | $0.74 | 7.0¢ | 70.5% |
| NO | $0.26 | $0.29 | $0.33 | 7.0¢ | 29.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.67 | 0 | $0.74 | 0 |
| NO | $0.26 | 0 | $0.33 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.7 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.29 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.670 – 0.740 |
| Band Width | 0.070 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -3.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -3.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 700 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | -0.01 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | 1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 531222 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 2236 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Sydney Sweeney makes a qualifying appearance in a big game ad before Feb 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A qualifying appearance includes on-screen appearances (live, pre-recorded, or virtual), appearances as host, guest, performer, or presenter, cameos, sketches, interviews, musical performances, commercial spots, video calls, voice-over narration, or voice-only segments like phone interviews. Archival footage, mentions without appearance, impersonations, lookalikes, AI-generated content, and clips from other sources do not qualify. The appearance must be newly created after market issuance and accessible to the general public through standard viewing methods.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-10T22:18:47.488938
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