KXSENATEOHSR-26-RS
Wil Robert Sprague be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Ohio?
$0.01

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.01 $0.01 1.0¢ 1.0%
NO $0.99 $0.99 $1.0 1.0¢ 99.01%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.01 233
NO $0.99 233 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.01 0.0 0
$0.99 0.0 2233

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.000 – 0.010
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-12-04 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-11-03 10:00 AM ET (407d 16h 7m)
Expected Expiration2026-11-03 10:00 AM ET (407d 16h 7m)
Early Close: This market will close after Robert Sprague wins the party's nomination.

Book & Activity

Liquidity4518561
24h Volume0
Open Interest0
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0532.3345187.8
0.25302.3344917.8
0.501090.1344130.0
0.752920.1342300.0
0.954640.1340580.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Robert Sprague wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Ohio Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T22:52:36.757936

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