KXSNAPRESTRICT-27-JAN04
Will a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027?
$0.34
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.25 | $0.29 | $0.34 | 9.0¢ | 29.5% |
| NO | $0.66 | $0.7 | $0.75 | 9.0¢ | 70.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.25 | 0 | $0.34 | 0 |
| NO | $0.66 | 0 | $0.75 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.29 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.7 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.250 – 0.340 |
| Band Width | 0.090 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 900 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -7.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1838741 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 4901 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market will resolve to Yes if a bill that explicitly restricts the types of food that can be purchased using Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits is signed into law by the President on or before January 3, 2027 (the end of the 119th Congress). The bill must clearly impose new federal restrictions on eligible SNAP purchases. Administrative rule changes, state-level restrictions, or temporary pilot programs do not count.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-11T06:52:12.685884
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