KXSOLSTABLESUPP-25DEC31-13
Will total stablecoin supply on Solana be above $13B on Dec 31, 2025?
$0.85
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.75 | $0.8 | $0.85 | 10.0¢ | 80.0% |
| NO | $0.15 | $0.2 | $0.25 | 10.0¢ | 20.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.75 | 0 | $0.85 | 0 |
| NO | $0.15 | 0 | $0.25 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.8 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.2 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.750 – 0.850 |
| Band Width | 0.100 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -5.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -5.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 1000 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1192967 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 428 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If total USDC, USDT, PYUSD, and USDS supply on Solana is above 13 billion at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The total stablecoin supply is measured in USD-equivalent value as reported by Blockworks Research data dashboards. The measurement includes all stablecoins on Solana as classified by Blockworks, which typically includes USD-pegged stablecoins and excludes algorithmic stablecoins unless specifically included. Supply includes all versions on Solana: native, bridged, wrapped, and canonical.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-11T04:18:50.586871
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