KXTOKENLAUNCHOPENSEA-26FEB01
Will OpenSea launch a token before Feb 1, 2026?
$0.93
Market Snapshot
Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
YES | $0.87 | $0.9 | $0.93 | 6.0¢ | 90.0% |
NO | $0.07 | $0.1 | $0.13 | 6.0¢ | 10.0% |
Order Book (Top)
Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
---|---|---|---|---|
YES | $0.87 | 48 | $0.93 | 48 |
NO | $0.07 | 48 | $0.13 | 48 |
Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
---|---|---|
$0.9 | 0.0 | 248 |
$0.1 | 0.0 | 248 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
Prob Band (0–1) | 0.870 – 0.930 |
Band Width | 0.060 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
YES Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
NO Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
Vig (bps/h) | 600 |
State Change & Momentum
Metric | Value |
---|---|
ΔMid ($) | 0.02 |
ΔSpread (¢) | — |
ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
Opens | 2025-08-27 10:00 AM ET |
Last Trade (Close) | 2026-01-31 11:59 PM ET (130d 2h 2m) |
Expected Expiration | 2025-08-27 10:00 AM ET (-27d 12h 56m) |
Book & Activity
Liquidity | 653458 |
24h Volume | 0 |
Open Interest | 100 |
OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
---|---|---|
0.05 | 96.0 | 1025.7 |
0.25 | 96.0 | 1025.7 |
0.50 | 96.0 | 1025.7 |
0.75 | 315.3 | 806.4 |
0.95 | 927.7 | 384.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data
Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:56:25.298319
Technical Indicators
No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →
Let us know what you’d like to see →