KXTOPAI-26-JAN01-01A1
Will 01A1 have a top-ranked AI model before 2026?
$0.03

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.03 $0.03 3.0¢ 2.96%
NO $0.97 $0.98 $1.0 3.0¢ 97.09%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.03 497
NO $0.97 497 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.03 0.0 0
$0.98 0.0 1497

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.0000.030
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.04
NO Edge (ticks)-2.96
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-11-05 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (99d 20h 25m)
Expected Expiration2026-01-02 10:00 AM ET (100d 20h 25m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity2126394
24h Volume0
Open Interest262
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0534.9120637.44
0.25540.1620132.19
0.50540.1620132.19
0.75540.1620132.19
0.951127.3319545.02
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If 01A1 has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:34:49.416638

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →