KXTOPARTIST-25-BB
Who will be the top Spotify artist this year?
Bad Bunny
$0.74

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.73 $0.73 $0.74 1.0¢ 73.5%
NO $0.26 $0.27 $0.27 1.0¢ 26.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.73 1110 $0.74 2430
NO $0.26 2430 $0.27 1110
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.7331 -0.3729 11731
$0.2669 0.3729 3200

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.730 – 0.740
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0031
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-11-05 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-12-31 11:59 PM ET (100d 11h 48m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (99d 21h 49m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity71854966
24h Volume1215
Open Interest48578
OI Turnover (24h)0.03
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.053836.36361085.69
0.255060.75359861.3
0.505400.75359521.3
0.7525106.57339830.48
0.9537764.33327505.42
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Bad Bunny is the most streamed Spotify artist in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T17:10:30.964923

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