KXTOPSONGRECORDIACB-0
How long will I Ain’t Comin’ Back be #1?
More than 0 weeks
$0.05

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.01 $0.03 $0.05 4.0¢ 3.0%
NO $0.95 $0.97 $0.99 4.0¢ 97.0%
Overround (asks): 4.0% Underround (bids): 4.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.01 855 $0.05 4
NO $0.95 4 $0.99 855
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.0498 0.9907 855
$0.9502 -0.9907 814

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.010 – 0.050
Band Width0.040

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.0
NO Edge (ticks)-2.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0198
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-04-16 01:00 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-12-28 11:59 PM ET (97d 4h 29m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-28 10:00 AM ET (96d 14h 30m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity200199
24h Volume0
Open Interest2810
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.058.551259.16
0.25177.351090.36
0.50377.69940.02
0.75507.69760.02
0.951168.71574.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If I Ain’t Comin’ Back has had the #1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for more than 0 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If this event occurs, or the streak ends, the market will close the following 10am ET. This market specifically encompasses the first streak I Ain’t Comin’ Back holds. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T00:29:19.486353

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