KXTOPSONGRECORDIACB-5
How long will I Ain’t Comin’ Back be #1?
More than 5 weeks
$0.02
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | $0.02 | $0.02 | 2.0¢ | 1.98% |
| NO | $0.98 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 2.0¢ | 98.04% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | 0 | $0.02 | 802 |
| NO | $0.98 | 802 | $1.0 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.02 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 837 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.000 – 0.020 |
| Band Width | 0.020 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.02 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.98 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-04-16 01:00 PM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-12-28 11:59 PM ET (97d 4h 27m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-12-28 10:00 AM ET (96d 14h 28m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 86104 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 62 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 16.04 | 739.66 |
| 0.25 | 50.79 | 704.91 |
| 0.50 | 271.7 | 484.0 |
| 0.75 | 395.7 | 360.0 |
| 0.95 | 559.7 | 196.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If I Ain’t Comin’ Back has had the #1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for more than 5 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If this event occurs, or the streak ends, the market will close the following 10am ET. This market specifically encompasses the first streak I Ain’t Comin’ Back holds. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-23T00:31:31.162198
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