KXTOURJUSTINBIEBER-26

Will Justin Bieber announce a new tour this year?

$0.68

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.61	$0.65	$0.68	7.0¢	64.5%
NO	$0.32	$0.35	$0.39	7.0¢	35.5%

Overround (asks): 7.0% Underround (bids): 7.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.61	8	$0.68	4
NO	$0.32	4	$0.39	8

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.6567	0.3333	40
$0.3433	-0.3333	40

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.610 – 0.680
Band Width	0.070

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-3.5
NO Edge (ticks)	-3.5
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	0.05
ΔSpread (¢)	5.0
ΔLast Trade ($)	0.02
Micro Pull ($)	0.0067

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-07-14 01:41 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (99d 13h 33m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (99d 13h 33m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	769198
24h Volume	73
Open Interest	4150
OI Turnover (24h)	0.02
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	41.82	4190.55
0.25	97.82	4134.55
0.50	451.02	3781.35
0.75	1627.55	2604.82
0.95	2005.55	2264.82

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If Justin Bieber announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-24T01:26:10.340086

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →