KXTPUSAHEADLINER-26DEC31-JAS
Will Jason Aldean perform as Headliner at Turning Point USA's 'All-American' Super Bowl Halftime Show?
$0.47
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.36 | $0.41 | $0.47 | 11.0¢ | 41.5% |
| NO | $0.53 | $0.58 | $0.64 | 11.0¢ | 58.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.36 | 0 | $0.47 | 0 |
| NO | $0.53 | 0 | $0.64 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.41 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.58 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.360 – 0.470 |
| Band Width | 0.110 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -5.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -5.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 1100 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | -0.56 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -86.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | -0.26 |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 317426 |
| 24h Volume | 41 |
| Open Interest | 706 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.06 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Jason Aldean is the Headliner at Turning Point USA's 'All-American' Super Bowl Halftime Show before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-11T15:35:47.887656
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