KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-5
Will exactly 5 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?
$0.11

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.1 $0.1 $0.11 1.0¢ 10.5%
NO $0.89 $0.9 $0.9 1.0¢ 89.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.1 0 $0.11 0
NO $0.89 0 $0.9 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.1 0.0 0
$0.9 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.1000.110
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)100

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢) -2.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.01
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity571581
24h Volume102
Open Interest4069
OI Turnover (24h)0.03
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If exactly 5 justices vote in favor of the petitioner (Donald Trump) in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc., then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A justice is counted as voting in favor of the petitioner only if, according to the Court's final action, that justice supported a judgment that grants some or all relief requested by the petitioner. The number of votes "for the petitioner" is the number of justices who concurred in a judgment of the Court in favor of the petitioner or dissented from the judgment against the petitioner. A justice must participate in the case and take a position aligned with granting relief to the petitioner for their vote to count. If the petitioner prevails in the Court's final judgment, count all justices who joined the majority opinion, wrote or joined concurring opinions, or concurred in the judgment only. A justice who concurs in part and dissents in part will count only if the concurring portion includes a vote to grant the petitioner some relief.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-11T16:57:10.689011

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