KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-JALM
Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?
$0.2

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.1 $0.15 $0.2 10.0¢ 15.0%
NO $0.8 $0.85 $0.9 10.0¢ 85.0%
Overround (asks): 10.0% Underround (bids): 10.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.1 5 $0.2 27
NO $0.8 27 $0.9 5
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.1156 -0.6875 5
$0.8844 0.6875 27

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.1000.200
Band Width0.100

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-5.0
NO Edge (ticks)-5.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($) -0.0344
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-15 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-12-31 12:00 PM ET (463d 12h 13m)
Expected Expiration2026-12-31 10:00 AM ET (463d 10h 13m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity154970
24h Volume0
Open Interest128
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.054.061114.0
0.2549.561068.5
0.5049.561068.5
0.7549.561068.5
0.95979.28666.03
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Jailton Almeida is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:46:55.871588

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