KXVOTESHUTDOWNS-263-JSHA
Will Jeanne Shaheen vote for the next omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR)?
$1.0
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.0% |
| NO | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | 0 | $1.0 | 0 |
| NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.990 – 1.000 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 100 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | 0.07 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -3.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | 0.05 |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 360912 |
| 24h Volume | 14 |
| Open Interest | 15665 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Jeanne Shaheen votes for the next omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR) in the Senate before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
For purposes of this Contract, this refers to a Yea vote on first final vote of the next omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR) (not a motion to proceed or motion to invoke cloture), unless otherwise specified, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026 in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).<p>Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Jeanne Shaheen to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.</p>
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-11T22:28:07.690105
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