KXVOTESHUTDOWNS-263-JSHA
Will Jeanne Shaheen vote for the next omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR)?
$1.0

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.99 $0.99 $1.0 1.0¢ 99.0%
NO $0.0 $0.01 $0.01 1.0¢ 1.0%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.99 0 $1.0 0
NO $0.0 0 $0.01 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.99 0.0 0
$0.01 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.9901.000
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-0.0
Vig (bps/h)100

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.07
ΔSpread (¢) -3.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.05
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity360912
24h Volume14
Open Interest15665
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Jeanne Shaheen votes for the next omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR) in the Senate before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
For purposes of this Contract, this refers to a Yea vote on first final vote of the next omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR) (not a motion to proceed or motion to invoke cloture), unless otherwise specified, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026 in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).<p>Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Jeanne Shaheen to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.</p>

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-11T22:28:07.690105

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