KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-VPUT
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029?
$0.68

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.64 $0.66 $0.68 4.0¢ 66.0%
NO $0.32 $0.34 $0.36 4.0¢ 34.0%
Overround (asks): 4.0% Underround (bids): 4.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.64 0 $0.68 0
NO $0.32 0 $0.36 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.66 0.0 0
$0.34 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.6400.680
Band Width0.040

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.0
NO Edge (ticks)-2.0
Vig (bps/h)400

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity1477462
24h Volume0
Open Interest4242
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
For the purposes of this market, a meeting must be direct and in real time. In-person encounters where both parties are physically present in the same location will count. Virtual meetings or calls where both parties speak directly to each other will also count. However, simply being present at the same event without direct interaction will not count. Exchanging written correspondences, communicating through intermediaries, or other asynchronous communication will not count. Cancelled meetings and near-misses will not count.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-11T10:06:39.180539

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