MOON-26DEC31
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2027?
Before 2027
$0.07

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.05 $0.06 $0.07 2.0¢ 6.0%
NO $0.93 $0.94 $0.95 2.0¢ 94.0%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.05 0 $0.07 0
NO $0.93 0 $0.95 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.06 0.0 0
$0.94 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.050 – 0.070
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)200

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity6273870
24h Volume12
Open Interest6815
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Before 2027
$0.07
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?
$0.12

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-11T11:18:41.600758

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