NYTOAI-27DEC31
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?
$0.5

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.42 $0.46 $0.5 8.0¢ 46.0%
NO $0.5 $0.54 $0.58 8.0¢ 54.0%
Overround (asks): 8.0% Underround (bids): 8.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.42 0 $0.5 0
NO $0.5 0 $0.58 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.46 0.0 0
$0.54 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.420 – 0.500
Band Width0.080

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-4.0
NO Edge (ticks)-4.0
Vig (bps/h)800

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity4233289
24h Volume13
Open Interest11071
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the Southern District of New York has found OpenAI liable for copyright infringement (or any of the counts alleged by the Times), then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?
$0.5

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-11T22:31:46.581515

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