KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-26-BEL
Will Belgium officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2026?
$1.0
Market Snapshot
Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
YES | $0.9 | $0.95 | $1.0 | 10.0¢ | 90.48% |
NO | $0.0 | $0.1 | $0.1 | 10.0¢ | 9.95% |
Order Book (Top)
Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
---|---|---|---|---|
YES | $0.9 | 25 | $1.0 | 0 |
NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.1 | 25 |
Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
---|---|---|
$0.95 | 0.0 | 25 |
$0.1 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
Prob Band (0–1) | 0.900 – 1.000 |
Band Width | 0.100 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
YES Edge (ticks) | -9.52 |
NO Edge (ticks) | -0.48 |
Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
Metric | Value |
---|---|
ΔMid ($) | — |
ΔSpread (¢) | — |
ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
Opens | 2025-09-18 10:00 AM ET |
Last Trade (Close) | 2026-05-13 11:59 PM ET (232d 0h 57m) |
Expected Expiration | 2026-05-14 10:00 AM ET (232d 10h 58m) |
Book & Activity
Liquidity | 200850 |
24h Volume | 0 |
Open Interest | 0 |
OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
---|---|---|
0.05 | 20.0 | 196.5 |
0.25 | 20.0 | 196.5 |
0.50 | 20.0 | 196.5 |
0.75 | 20.0 | 196.5 |
0.95 | 216.5 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Belgium has performed as an official entry in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
To qualify as participation, the country/broadcaster must be confirmed by the EBU or national broadcaster to represent a country AND must perform their entry as part of the competition (either in a Semi-Final or Grand Final). The performance must be a numbered competition entry eligible for voting. Opening acts, interval acts, or other non-competitive performances do not count. Markets resolve to Yes even if the participant is later disqualified or penalized, as long as they performed. Withdrawal before performance (voluntary or involuntary) results in No resolution. Mere inclusion on the participant list without actual performance does not qualify.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data
Last updated: 2025-09-24T03:01:40.957900
Technical Indicators
No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →
Let us know what you’d like to see →