KXF1-25-LN
Will the Lando Norris win the Formula 1 Drivers Championship?
:: McLaren
$0.26

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.21 $0.23 $0.26 5.0¢ 23.5%
NO $0.74 $0.77 $0.79 5.0¢ 76.5%
Overround (asks): 5.0% Underround (bids): 5.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.21 12000 $0.26 1000
NO $0.74 1000 $0.79 12000
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.2562 0.8462 23397
$0.7438 -0.8462 5237

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.210 – 0.260
Band Width0.050

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.5
NO Edge (ticks)-2.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.05
Micro Pull ($) 0.0262
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-02-12 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2027-12-07 10:00 AM ET (804d 12h 2m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-07 10:00 AM ET (74d 12h 2m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity84442036
24h Volume1140
Open Interest49031
OI Turnover (24h)0.02
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05233.3818439.77
0.256219.73812428.34
0.5018099.52800548.55
0.7525934.68792713.39
0.9537461.48785503.39
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Lando Norris wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:57:33.055358

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