KXF1-25-OP
Will the Oscar Piastri win the Formula 1 Drivers Championship?
:: McLaren
$0.66

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.63 $0.65 $0.66 3.0¢ 64.5%
NO $0.34 $0.35 $0.37 3.0¢ 35.5%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.63 656 $0.66 1184
NO $0.34 1184 $0.37 656
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.6407 -0.287 8790
$0.3593 0.287 11194

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.630 – 0.660
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.5
NO Edge (ticks)-1.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.02
Micro Pull ($) -0.0093
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-02-12 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2027-12-07 10:00 AM ET (804d 13h 34m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-07 10:00 AM ET (74d 13h 34m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity22006864
24h Volume2500
Open Interest62269
OI Turnover (24h)0.04
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05919.76157868.57
0.251203.56157595.32
0.502499.55156653.83
0.7536128.69122785.94
0.9551577.43107920.95
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Oscar Piastri wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T01:25:06.924691

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