KXINXY-25DEC31-B6700
Will the S&P 500 be between 6600 and 6799.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025?
6,600 to 6,799.99
$0.18

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.15 $0.17 $0.18 3.0¢ 16.5%
NO $0.82 $0.83 $0.85 3.0¢ 83.5%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.15 0 $0.18 0
NO $0.82 0 $0.85 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.17 0.0 0
$0.83 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.150 – 0.180
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.5
NO Edge (ticks)-1.5
Vig (bps/h)300

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 2.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.01
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity128271320
24h Volume1538
Open Interest196535
OI Turnover (24h)0.01
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value for December 31, 2025 is between 6600-6799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET after the release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2025. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Related Markets

5,800 to 5,999.99
$0.02
6,000 to 6,199.99
$0.03
6,200 to 6,399.99
$0.07
6,400 to 6,599.99
$0.09
6,600 to 6,799.99
$0.18
6,800 to 6,999.99
$0.24
7,000 to 7,199.99
$0.24
7,200 to 7,399.99
$0.09
7,400 to 7,600
$0.07
3,999.99 or below
$0.02
7,600.01 or above
$0.02

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-08T19:33:31.830292

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