KXNCAAFSEC-25-ALA
College Football SEC Championship Winner?
$0.14

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.13 $0.14 $0.14 1.0¢ 13.5%
NO $0.86 $0.86 $0.87 1.0¢ 86.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.13 3866 $0.14 524
NO $0.86 524 $0.87 3866
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.1388 0.7613 8866
$0.8612 -0.7613 38163

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.130 – 0.140
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.02
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) -0.0012
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-04-01 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2027-12-06 10:00 AM ET (804d 14h 26m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-06 10:00 AM ET (74d 14h 26m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity79627071
24h Volume1583
Open Interest45509
OI Turnover (24h)0.03
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05122.89773627.3
0.257730.03766131.41
0.509284.24764465.95
0.7514602.53759987.66
0.95181494.13662556.06
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Alabama wins the College Football SEC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T00:33:42.415966

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