KXNCAAFSEC-25-TXAM
College Football SEC Championship Winner?
$0.08

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.05 $0.07 $0.08 3.0¢ 6.5%
NO $0.92 $0.94 $0.95 3.0¢ 93.5%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.05 10034 $0.08 10537
NO $0.92 10537 $0.95 10034
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.0646 -0.0245 17929
$0.9354 0.0245 41246

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.050 – 0.080
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.5
NO Edge (ticks)-1.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.01
ΔSpread (¢) -1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) -0.0054
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-04-01 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2027-12-06 10:00 AM ET (804d 14h 26m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-06 10:00 AM ET (74d 14h 26m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity82038038
24h Volume833
Open Interest55519
OI Turnover (24h)0.02
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05919.73799170.09
0.256648.64793165.73
0.508224.68791427.44
0.7512778.95786809.17
0.95176301.06693587.06
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Texas A&M wins the College Football SEC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T00:33:45.660747

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