KXNCAAFSEC-25-UGA
College Football SEC Championship Winner?
$0.28

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.25 $0.27 $0.28 3.0¢ 26.5%
NO $0.72 $0.73 $0.75 3.0¢ 73.5%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.25 36 $0.28 2604
NO $0.72 2604 $0.75 36
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.2504 -0.9727 5063
$0.7496 0.9727 30092

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.250 – 0.280
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.5
NO Edge (ticks)-1.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) -1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.01
Micro Pull ($) -0.0196
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-04-01 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2027-12-06 10:00 AM ET (804d 14h 27m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-06 10:00 AM ET (74d 14h 27m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity122067679
24h Volume1008
Open Interest57750
OI Turnover (24h)0.02
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.056897.1659914.27
0.259698.94656615.33
0.5022213.1644092.17
0.7524703.92641601.35
0.95143349.21579196.06
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Georgia wins the College Football SEC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T00:32:58.199711

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