KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-COAL
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
$0.34

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.31 $0.33 $0.34 3.0¢ 32.5%
NO $0.66 $0.68 $0.69 3.0¢ 67.5%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.31 4432 $0.34 708
NO $0.66 708 $0.69 4432
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.3359 0.7245 14432
$0.6641 -0.7245 10708

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.310 – 0.340
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.5
NO Edge (ticks)-1.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0059
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-06-27 04:45 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2032-12-30 10:00 AM ET (2655d 8h 18m)
Expected Expiration2030-12-31 10:00 AM ET (1925d 8h 18m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity9719189
24h Volume0
Open Interest214
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05104.4465531.02
0.252525.063110.46
0.5015439.6450195.82
0.7528039.6437595.82
0.9545065.2220570.24
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Coal is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T06:41:59.288749

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