KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-GAS
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
$0.22

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.19 $0.2 $0.22 3.0¢ 20.5%
NO $0.78 $0.8 $0.81 3.0¢ 79.5%
Overround (asks): 3.0% Underround (bids): 3.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.19 3320 $0.22 1879
NO $0.78 1879 $0.81 3320
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.2092 0.2772 13320
$0.7908 -0.2772 11879

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.190 – 0.220
Band Width0.030

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.5
NO Edge (ticks)-1.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0092
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-06-27 04:45 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2032-12-30 10:00 AM ET (2655d 8h 17m)
Expected Expiration2030-12-31 10:00 AM ET (1925d 8h 17m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity9059026
24h Volume0
Open Interest0
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05609.0862987.9
0.255753.2657343.72
0.5013953.2649143.72
0.7526294.9636802.02
0.9542726.7420370.24
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Gas is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T06:42:01.263238

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